Rainbow Six Siege Osaka Major Predictions and Free Alpha Packs

Rainbow Six Siege Osaka Major predictions are open for the 6 to 15 November 2026 esports event, with free rewards for correctly predicting which teams qualify and who wins playoff matches. The prizes include Alpha Packs, an exclusive Kintsugi weapon skin and the Year 11 Season 4 Battle Pass.

There’s no reward just for choosing a winner. You score points for getting predictions right, then unlock prizes at set milestones. Those milestones stack, so a strong run can earn you several sets of Alpha Packs as well as the exclusive weapon skin or Battle Pass.

How to make Rainbow Six Siege Osaka Major predictions

The Rainbow Six Siege Osaka Major predictions campaign opened at 18:00 CET on 27 October. Sign in to Ubisoft’s official R6 Esports Predictions page, select the Osaka Major and make your choices for whichever phase is open. The promotion continues until 15 November, but each phase has an earlier cut-off.

There are three rounds of predictions. You won’t be able to submit every pick at once, so returning after each stage is part of the process.

• Play-in: Predict the four teams that reach the Swiss stage, including their upper- or lower-bracket route. You earn a point for each correct team and an extra point for placing it in the correct bracket.
• Swiss stage: Predict which teams advance and in which qualification wave. Correct teams and correct waves contribute points. This round opens after the play-ins and closes before the first Swiss match.
• Playoffs: Pick the winners of the quarterfinals, semifinals and grand final. Each day’s picks open after the preceding stage and lock before that playday’s first match.

That means it’s worth revisiting the predictions page throughout the event. Ubisoft opens Swiss predictions after the play-ins, then the playoffs after Swiss has finished. Don’t leave your picks until the grand final and expect to enter the earlier rounds.

All Rainbow Six Siege Osaka Major predictions rewards

Ubisoft’s Rainbow Six Siege Osaka Major predictions have eight confirmed reward tiers, starting at four correct predictions and ending at 31. The table shows what each tier adds to your account. The prizes are cumulative, not replacements for earlier rewards.

Getting all eight tiers means earning 24 Alpha Packs in total, the exclusive Kintsugi AK-74M skin and the Year 11 Season 4 Battle Pass. You’ll only get rewards for the milestones you actually reach. The Rainbow Six Siege Osaka Major predictions don’t give everyone 24 packs for taking part.

When do Rainbow Six Siege Osaka Major predictions close?

The competition runs to 15 November, but that isn’t the deadline for every prediction. Play-in selections lock before the first play-in match. The Swiss round opens after the play-ins and locks before the first Swiss fixture. During the knockout stage, you must predict each playday before its first match begins.

The arena playoffs run from 13 to 15 November. Their published show starts are 09:15 JST (00:15 GMT) on Friday, then 10:00 JST (01:00 GMT) on Saturday and Sunday. Those are arena show times, not guaranteed prediction deadlines. Use the countdown on Ubisoft’s predictions page for the actual cut-off.

How to redeem your free Alpha Packs

Return to the predictions page the day after the competition and select Redeem beneath each reward you’ve earned. Restart Siege if a claimed item doesn’t show up straight away. Ubisoft allows one year to redeem prizes; the Y11S4 Battle Pass will be redeemable once that season launches.

You don’t need a ticket for Osaka to take part. Ubisoft does say you need the base Rainbow Six Siege game to use the prizes in-game. If you haven’t got it yet, earned rewards are held for up to a year.

Are predictions the same as Twitch Drops?

No. Predictions reward correct tournament picks, while Twitch Drops give you items for watching eligible streams for enough time. You can take part in both, but the points you earn from Rainbow Six Siege Osaka Major predictions do not affect your Twitch watch time.

For the best chance of collecting something, make your play-in choices before the first game on 6 November. Return for the Swiss picks, then check the bracket again for each day of the playoffs. The site will show the current prediction phase and its deadline.

Official source: Ubisoft’s official Osaka Major Predictions page.